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Breeders’ Cup Top 10 Long Shots

Here is a recap of Thoroughbred Analytics’ top ten live longshots for the 2013 Breeder’s Cup

1. Last Gunfighter: If he runs back to his form in the Pimlico Special; which we think he will, then he has as good a chance as anybody at taking the Classic.He gave Ain’t too fast to catch the race and then snatched it back. He has tactical speed which always helps. This horse should be getting more attention than he has been.

2. We Miss Artie: Won the Dixiana Futurity and did it the right way. His breeding seems to suggest he’ll love grass but he tolerated dirt well enough to make himself dangerous here.

3. Za Approval: Wise Dan ran the Woodbine Mile in 1:31 and three. Za Approval ran it in 1:32 flat don’t you think that’s good enough to beat just about every horse in this field? We sure do

4. Paynter: He needs a much better trip than he received in the Awesome Again, but if he gets that perfect trip we think he has what it takes to pick up the pieces. The distance is no problem for this horse.

5. Granny’s MC Kitten: Should be forwardly placed and able to strike when the time is right. Javier Castellano the Ramsey’s and Chad Brown are a great combo

6. Commander: I’m not convinced that he is a better horse than Ever Rider, but if Aaron can get him on the lead or in second in the early going, Commander becomes a very dangerous horse and could take down Ever Rider.

7. Mexicoma: His runaway victory tells so much. He showed that he has the talent and that this distance is a piece of cake for him. Play the horse you know will get the distance.

8. Easter Gift: If you draw a line through his most recent race, what you have is a horse who gave Vitoria Olimpica all he could handle and excels at a mile. I also like the fact that he can be a deep closer or sit two off the pace.

9. Dance Card: If she matures enough to run in a straight line and not people watch she has a shot at hitting the board or possibly winning

10. Big Blue Kitten: With all the speed in this race they are probably going to run three quarters in 1:13 flat and if they do that, Big Blue Kitten will gobble up the field like he did in the Sword Dancer. This race seems to be primed for closers and Big Blue Kitten seems to have the best closing kick of them all.

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