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When we look at the key factors report for speed horses we are going to be looking at two categories, horses passed and lengths gained. Horses passed is a measure of the number of horses passed during a race. A score above 50 indicates a horse usually passes other horses. A score below 50 indicates a horse is usually passed by other horses. The closer to 100, the more horses are passed by this horse during a race. So the horses with the higher number are the closers and the horses with the lower number are the speed horses.
Lengths gained is a measure of the number of lengths the horse gained during previous races. A score above 80 indicates a horse usually gains on the leaders during a race. A score below 80 indicates a horse usually loses lengths during a race. The closer to 100, the more lengths are gained during a race. The closer to 100, the more the horse improves their position from the leader during previous races. Again the high numbers are usually the closers and a lower number the early speed horses.
Looking at the Mother Goose we see that Include Betty is the highest ranked horse in horses passed with a rating of 90.02 with Danessa Deluxe next at 80.27. They are the best closers in the race. The two lowest ranked horses in the category are Money’soncharlotte at 54.13 and Embellish the Lace at 54.17.
With the lengths gained category, the leader is Include Betty at 88 with Eskenformoney next at 85. When we look at our two early speed horses, Embellish the Lace is actually tied for 4th with Munasara at 84 while Money’soncharlotte is next to last at 77.60. That tells us Embellish the Lace has more staying power and doesn’t necessarily need the lead.
We see that Embellish the Lace has a tactical speed advantage. We also notice that in the workout column, Embellish the Lace is the leader with an 80.18 rating, with Money’soncharlotte next at 79.39.
Even though Money’soncharlotte broke her maiden in the slop at Belmont at a mile last year, the one thing about her that bothers us is that she had shown trouble at the start of her races three and four starts back. But at 20-1 on the morning line and the fact she was 28-1 or higher in her last four starts, she is worth using with a saver win bet and in exotics. But our top choice will be Embellish the Lace, the 7-2 second choice that will be breaking from the rail. Use those two horses in an exacta box with the best closer in the race, Include Betty. But if you wanted to key one horse in the exotics, it should be Embellish the Lace.
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