Handicapping Reporting Definitions
Metric Description ML Odds
The morning line odds are created by the track's professional handicapper. They are what the local handicapper believes should be the odds of the horse in the race, based on their professional analysis.
The TA Indicator is exactly that, a single number that indicates how well the horse is expected to perform in the current race based on historical information. Usually this is a number between 70 and 100. The rating is determined by analysis of the past performances for each horse as well as a comparison of current race types. The Thoroughbred Analytics process calculates over 40 factors for each horse. These are then combined using proprietary statistical techniques to arrive at a single indicator for each horse. TA Indicator may include the analysis of over 40 factors calculated for each horse including:
- Jockey Efficiency
- Workout Times
- Workout Distance
- Lengths Gained
- Trainer Efficiency
- Bullet Works
- Horses Passed
- Post Position
Note: TA Indicators are calculated for a specific horse entered in a specific race and condition and should not be compared across races.
The TA Rank lists the horse with highest to lowest TA Indicators. The horse within each race with the highest TA Indicator has a TA Rank of 1. The horse with the second highest TA Indicator has a rank of 2, the third highest TA Indicator has a rank of three and so forth for each horse in the race.
The TA Ratio is one of Thoroughbred Analytics most powerful tools. This represents a horse's overall relative strength or weakness compared to all other horses entered in the race. The TA Ratio is the TA Indicator of each horse divided by the average TA Indicator of all horses entered in the race.
- TA Ratio > 1.00
- This horse is expected to perform better than the average horse in the race. The more the ratio is over 1.00, say 1.15, then the stronger the horse is relative to the field.
- TA Ratio < 1.00
- This horse is expected to perform more poorly than the average horse in the race. The more the ratio is less than 1.00, say 0.85, then the weaker the horse is relative to the rest of the field.
Metric Description Class
This represents how well a horse is suited for the class of race in which it is entered. A score of 100 indicates the horse is well suited for this class of race. A score greater than 100 indicates a drop in class for this race, a score below 100 indicates a jump in class for the in which it is entered.
This represents how well a horse is suited for the distance of the race in which it is entered. A score of 100 indicates the horse is well suited for this distance. A score greater than 100 indicates it is extremely well suited for this distance, a score below 100 indicates the horse is not as well suited for a race of this distance.
Thoroughbred Analytics' proprietary speed rating. Unlike standard industry speed ratings, this has been adjusted based on the distance of prior races. The higher the value, the faster the horse is generally. 100 represents performance at or closer to track ratings.
The average number of lengths behind the winner where the horse finishes. The closer to 100, the better the horse usually races compared to the winner.
A measure of the number of horses passed during a race. The closer to 100, the more horses are passed by this horse during a race.
A measure of the number of lengths the horse gained during previous races. The closer to 100, the more the horse improves their position from the leader during previous races.
A measure of the how the horse has been working out. The higher the value, the better the horse has been preparing. A value of 100 indicates exceptional workout times.
Jockey win, place and show records are compared to the average win, place and show records of yearly leaders over the past five years. A score of 100 indicates the jockey performs on par with the best jockey in the United States.
Trainer win, place and show records are compared to the average win, place and show records of yearly leaders over the past five years. A score of 100 indicates this trainer performs on par with the best trainers in the United States.